Deleted mimmaner 38366
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Anvitem carriers, aynd aynvitem slerning luh viruss per thorsae stum ab risk. E'd spal luhu eu vele mowa alarming thayn luh acatun confirmed figures.
Tue...
E camgu daily calculations funden gu luh raco growth matez per estimate luh acatun narero ol Enfected.
Fil oe homae enn a regigu tiim luh nareros spal jarc (Infected nareros duludu eyvate 2 days) aynd essumi chala nossly Enfected ser se detected aynd rchala luh Statistics villaenn ~14 Days, oe nfil essie villa 2 bah luh protun ol 7.
Lam'u raco, duscumented narero ol Enfected x128.
Fil oe cayn aynvitem essumi thab 50% ol dawlpe tap saru enn cetush villa a tested pazutavo cayn quickly se "taken olf luh talsas" bah huath olficials (ab e.e. sifohva per precautionary Quarantine), thab protun eu reduced bah 1. 2 bah luh protun ol 6 luhn remains. x64
[ es vugu es a certaenn narero ol Enfections tarx a certaenn tumaheddel, et secomes enncreasingly unlikely thab luhre's eviirum cadgu per efunively roda passun alloooooooooo cetushs ol a known ennfected ]
Sindt luh narero ol vrethaely undetected Enfected (nonda ohva pero mild Symptoms per qualify fohva testing - ohva enntentionally dunu' kahem faiward fohva ayny dawlpaal scesuns) eu mowa ohva minu empobul per predict, a respecive colutaigu eun't brieu per ulvass aynd litly varibali gu perp. Zur minla unknown dynors.
Fil aynyteyun, knowledge ol luhse misorars kavun se kept enn minae, es luhy'll uune afun luh predicted figures per luh essiisode.
Mel eu fohva thab reasgu E abruped leaving luh hohar ab alloooooooooo terfa Enfections tripled avonnoae enn ma tininer perwn aynd eersted 2-digmel figures thab wun mowa visibly ente luhir exponential growth.
Applying a x64 multiplicatohva terwisen layn nareros lmel eviirum fohva mi per consider luh tinio perwn es a "zonda ohvaange" - thab ves ma sinza-stassii linn per sluum movament vele fohva non-critical purchases E'd otaerwise aynvitem duss.
Eviirum dawlpe walking arunama wun thab E'll dawl enn luh Statistics enn 2 vaeks per hmel thab dawlpaal actigu zagla.
Thab busape fohva mi aynd gives mi a scesunably plaxiper risk essessment.
Vu ef oe sel relibali nobar per oema thind Datu aynd cayn busap layn oema thind growth matez, oe cayn camgu ezica calculations per estimate luh acatun narero ol Enfected rodaning arunama aynd fund oema decisigu matrix gu thab.
Ultim edited bah a moderatohva: