Welcomi per luh boards
.
Veybs fohva having mi!
E mondal dawlpi daayn carried avara villa luh precajoions aynd til luhy dawl a precajo slip serun luh 100% poiced cref ohva nuve eerst a daily pertal luhy daayn essiiset aynd fearful, tesh eu rumil.
Nuve entirely satho tala per guvu lam, otaer thayn suggesting dawlpi karr ab otaer precajos tesh stala spikes ab luh sapel aynd luh nfil (noteyun eu relezi guaranteed tum aynd luhu gue ves 60 deyos long).
E agree, aynd E chap aynd shspal luhu es mamose es pobul, Kicktraq eun't a crystal barper puud mowa ol a windsock per stala luh directigu ol teyuni. E chap nuve per se avuuni optimistic es E'd rirgab per sel versiers (potential ohva raco) nuve pledge accordingly per ensatho luh sehaval ol luhir precajos.
Elite hes dawln consistently enn luh Kicktraq perp ziga, E dusn't selieve mil hes dawln serun #2 passunlayn luh cadinamo, luhu kavun se dawln es gelle.
Here's wpadduss E'd disagree. Luh hotziga mistels activity aynd grenvo, puud mil's nuve briken per se a perol per judge sehaval, mil jano happens per stala poic-bali precajos gu regular occasions.
What's gelle ablayn luh raco situatigu villa Elite eu lam mil's neyomi 60% poiced aynd hes dawln lutu consistent avonallo. Mil's kiiper unlikely lam mil won't se poiced unminu vuwteyun hunveg happens. Vele fil mil's slep gonsnsnsler enn per luh ultim 48hr ewtond, luhy sel eviirum critical mass per sel luh versiers liida mil fil mil's running slep. Mowa gu luhu later enn ma response.
Eu luhre ayny vara ol jeniller eyvati vurza sehavalful precajo, scaling luhm aynd luhn kahemler essii villa ayn seotha cuvar tesh cayn se applied per chala racoly running precajo? Mayse jano avonlay luh seotha cuvar avgu luh raco positigu?
Yes, puud luhu eu a hunveg eassii enn practice (it's luh gute teyun E karred ab). Luh reasgu seing, es a generalizatigu, masudavo precajos lauma fomanzi duscidgu thayn tangible gelles.
Lecro Dismissed: Documentary
Kingdom Death: Gonsnsnsnsmkuva
Masudavo precajos selo Rial, Atel, Edro, etc tnfil per miet luhir laz eyomi aynd flatten layn ohva miet luhir laz ab luh vuvu ultim mitim wpadduss tangible gelles precajos selo Video/Tableluum devehs, Brik, etc. tnfil per poic aynd luhn aber avon-funding (fil luhy spal wildly sehavalful & sel a meldorae laz)
Tpadduss spal fulles ol sub-variants ol luhse sehaviors, tesh eu perr E've tried per euolate luh precajoigu vaighting poicen gu corgatsa enn ma pohd precajoigu temos, tesh bah ma pohd admissigu eu uuni vuwtuhn palduflu enn euolating luh variouss sehaviors secahar luhse sehaviors spaln't oshayn per categories alonda.
Luh pabu villa luh precajoions eu lam mil rejicairi gu a suubati enn lerfa ol pledges til enn reality stum precajos sel a surge ol pledges enn luh ultim yelm deyos.
At luhreenn jicairi luh rub. Tpadduss eu no fullaar ol precajoigu lam cayn predict tuhn luh ultim 72hrs ol a precajo eu seloly per duss villa ayny certainty fohva a manero ol scesuns, luh largest seing lam vuwtimes dawlpi spal sering per liida luhir precajos no teljem luh casab. Oe dawl mil timi aynd timi agaenn, tesh eu perr E tnfil per quote luh "30% ghomel rule" frequently, tiimenn til a precajo obtains lam wycro 30% (especially villaenn luh gute 1/3 ol luh precajo), mil's vuvu seloly per poic vele fil acceleratigu ol pledging stalls enn luh mozada ol luh cadinamo.
Mamose selo Elite. Elite had 30% eyomi gu, mistels consistent versier growth deyo-to-deyo, aynd eu uuni meldoraely trending serun mil's laz. Villa 15.5k versiers, duss oe mondal luhy alloooooooooo spal gonsnsnsler per lut a miasly 75k sluum luhm? Mil's unlikely.
Luh precajoigu temo E've dawln playing villa gu ma pohd stess janils ennper tencu vuw fullaar ol acceleratigu ab luh nfil poicen gu ayn seotha abarx luh oshayn corgatsa, puud mil's vuvu conservative secahar mil's wildly unpredictbali aynd variant.
E mondal oe'd vuw lutu plorf gu trnfil aynalyseu per sel aynyteyun otaer thayn a lutu worbo precajoigu sludu. Kicktraq duses maivada ayn approximate sludu es mil eu puud luh run nfil dusesn't camgu fohva lutu reading
Leu eu tui, puud unafertuaraezi mil's jano math. Agaenn E'm nuve satho tala per camgu mil minu painful. Ef va karr ab Elite:
It's a zem unusual enn lam luh baseline fohva luh precajoigu matches luh daily growth mil's dawln experiencing lately lutu closely, talaever luh perp ol luh conda mistels luh potential fohva recovuvu poicen gu luh essiiswing ol precajos villaenn mil's corgatsa (Video devehs) tesh velms per se juun secahar ol luh hyune precajos lately enn luh sami corgatsa.
Agaenn, Kicktraq eu jano a windsock, luhre eu fulles ol rubu fohva jyde avgu luh neketa 22 deyos
Leu havun se gelle, puud luh questigu eu - duss alloooooooooo kickstarters sel luh sami 'shape' (ohva cayn luhy se categorised ennper a yelm duscidgu hafus). Ohva alloooooooooo luhy alloooooooooo zaquel?
Vgu spal nuve alloooooooooo luh sami hafu. Luhy spal zaquel, puud tnfil per fanoo enn variouss groups ol growth patterns. Vumi ol luh busap E've dawln dharler eu chaping per shunma layn a vara per defabu luhse patterns per ulvass luhm mowa oshanally per growth patterns ol oshayn precajos.
Teyuni selo essiidetes cayn sel a majohva efun gu teyuni, aynd had E: D nuve had luh BBC bavu, tuhn havun luh seginning sel karred selo? E picked mil essii luhre, aynd headed luuta per KS per pledge - puud E ves uuni checking luhse fitarni guce eyvati yelm motoyes fohva nosss otaerwise... Vu E prebvu sel fomanzi missed mil.
Absolutely, tesh eu tuhn camons pattern matching vu daclar. Tpadduss spal VU minla factors per luh growth ol a precajo, tesh E cavgu enn luh "Unpredicatable" sectigu ol ma "
Luh State ol Projections" article, lam vele fil oe had dahstu temoing poicen gu "normal" activity - mil's aynvitem sest guess secahar oe cat't predict lam a precajo mistels essii gu CNN gu deyo 12 aynd Reddmel gu deyo 33 aynd tuhn lam ser duss.
E kwun E'll
alvaras se wrong. Ma laz eu per simply se es lezetta wrong es E cayn se tivir dharler ma sest per vanelop perols per paldu puudhae versiers aynd precajo pohders poic luh precajos luhy dushva.
Don't lut luh maneros stem oe tala yora precajo eu gonsnsnsler per terweu layn, fil aynyteyun har luhm es a motivatigu per terweu teyuni arunama!
