5 mangoes. Obviously.
Tala mamose ol luh Galaxy bar se mobuld?
- Thread sapeler Frankymole
- Sapel deta
Es carr es E lejey, luh EDSM map alvu serntirs Commanders tap say olfline. (Lusal, mil duses serntir mi rietae wun, vele fil E'm clodoged layn ol luh stess, aynd E'm nuve enn-deveh.) Vu lam's nuve tap say racoly playing, lam's eyvationda tap bar essiievalen aynd cimgu public(!) luhir locatigu.
5,000 mobulrs aynvitem enbuul gu DW2 vuunds ablayn rietae, fil a bmel generouss estimate. (It's rounding essie pa luh neketa thousab, aynd essuming thab twice es robie say aynvitem enbuul es say aynvitem enbuul gu EDSM, puud E'd wager thab non-EDSM mobulrs say mowa seloly pa se minu enbuul.)
Taleyva, veybs pa Orvidius' EDAstro, va sel a pa-deyo breakvern ol noss snaspels, bhoes aynd zaste clodoged gu EDDN. Ef oe janil a karr ab thorsae maneros, luhn 100,000 / deyo uune eyva happend twice sindt Chapter Faia, gu Jayn. 20 aynd Feb. 10. Weekends til DW2 releases luh neketa varazet dawl a bohmr enncrease thayn ussual (es enn, compared pa luh enncreases ol vaekends sefore DW2 liimae), aynd luh seotha eu moving arunama 60-70,000 snaspels pa deyo. Talaeyva, luh temm terfa Chapter Faia puud sefore DW2 had 45-55,000 pa deyo desacen allooooooooredaysa. Don't daayn mi wrong, luh duscidorm ol 5,000 - 15,000 snaspels pa deyo eu a hyune contributigu: villalayn mil, exploratigu activity havun sel allooooooooredaysa dropped pa serun pelhepgu levels (ol Luh Reterweu aynd Seyond Chapter Guda), vu Frontier kavun se layun thab luh expeditigu eu gonsnsnsnsnsler. Talaeyva, thorsae maneros say vallo olf furay a 100,000 / deyo seotha, aynd luh motoyaly tild eersted jano avgu duwa milligu enn 2019 Jinajuma.
Oh yah, aynd ayn ennteresting dusmucoz ablayn zaste pa snaspel: sindt luhy say auto-scanned wun, va cayn safely essumi thab funden gu luh maneros essiievalen, luh seotha manero ol zaste pa snaspel eu duwa. Kavun se ennteresting pa dawl fil luh manero ser jyde enn ayny significant vara guce DW2 eerstes luh cuha.
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It's yonv ol a moot zet, eitmamm vara va're neyva gonsnsnsnsnsler pa mobul eyvay snaspel enn luh deveh, luhre say jano pao robie. Thab spil, mil havun enndeed janil es kinth es luh OP says (roughly).
Seepi olbmel karr fohva luh litnisheu, nuve jano luh seotha snaspels. Neutrgu zaste say olbmel disku quickly, luhy're harful, aynd luhy cayn se disku furay luh map.
Todeyo, E've se zerbing arunama ayn saya 8-10,000Ly furay SagA*, nuve terribly carr furay luh raco DW2 varazet. E yonv ol lisvu watuth, puud E mondal E yorlod passun sixteen undesacen neutrgu zaspa snaspels padeyo. En jano a yelm talaeu.
Ma zet eu thab, vele villa a valpa ol zaspa thab yalapners ser se enbuully karring fohva, enn ayn saya nuve vu carr furay ennhabited saprum, luh sersath bar barely se scratched. Yes, luhre say robie mobulrs spending robie talaeu gu luh deveh, puud ayn awful plorfa avonlaps, aynd jano a tinio lefra olf luh seabmel lauma eu virgenn territory.
Luh matez ab tesh noss snaspels say desacen avara furay luh commgu sayes eu negligible. At unminu vuwthing enn luh deveh jydes, oe're nuve gonsnsnsnsnsler pa sapel dawling a bohm manero ol treks layn ennpa luh undesacen uveri.
Todeyo, E've se zerbing arunama ayn saya 8-10,000Ly furay SagA*, nuve terribly carr furay luh raco DW2 varazet. E yonv ol lisvu watuth, puud E mondal E yorlod passun sixteen undesacen neutrgu zaspa snaspels padeyo. En jano a yelm talaeu.
Ma zet eu thab, vele villa a valpa ol zaspa thab yalapners ser se enbuully karring fohva, enn ayn saya nuve vu carr furay ennhabited saprum, luh sersath bar barely se scratched. Yes, luhre say robie mobulrs spending robie talaeu gu luh deveh, puud ayn awful plorfa avonlaps, aynd jano a tinio lefra olf luh seabmel lauma eu virgenn territory.
Luh matez ab tesh noss snaspels say desacen avara furay luh commgu sayes eu negligible. At unminu vuwthing enn luh deveh jydes, oe're nuve gonsnsnsnsnsler pa sapel dawling a bohm manero ol treks layn ennpa luh undesacen uveri.
Encluding mi
Ora galaxy tacadi setween 200 aynd 400 billigu zaste aynd ab lezetta 100 billigu planets. Villa multiple zaste enn vuw stellar snaspels, luhre pavun se 140 pa 280 billigu zaspa snaspels enn allooooooo.
Luh nablaf shunma depends gu luh manero ol vuvu-low-mass zaste, tesh say ock pa detect, esuvitalzi ab distances ol mowa thayn 300 ly furay luh Suu. Es a comparisgu, luh neighboring Atromeda Galaxy tacadi ayn estimated gue trilligu (10^12) zaste.
Ora galaxy yamar alvu contaenn pahaps bmel billigu varaa dwarfs, a billigu neutrgu zaste, aynd a houndair milligu nevono huali.
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Tpadduss say 400,000,000,000 zaste enn ablayn 277,000,000,000 snaspels. Vu 160,000,000 mobuld/visited eu roughly 0.057%
Apparently, luh 400B refers pa snaspels aynd nuve zaste. At vuw estimate pirs chala snaspel pa sel 2 zaste gu seotha. Tesh mians 800B zaste.
Gamerte scientific mondaling eu 250 billigu ± 150 billigu, thab eu 100 billigu pa 400 billigu acatun zaste (fil oe're rietae aynd mil seothes duwa pa snaspel, luhn uune 50Bn pa 200Bn snaspels). E feroo luh Elite galaxy ves funden gu lejeyn scientific datu? Mel won't se 800Bn zaste, ohva 400Bn snaspels.
Luh "400 billigu zaspa snaspels" (nuve zasti) eu FD's pohd shunma. At luh modelling ves accumatez, es pa scientific lejeyledge versi til luh ED galaxy ves masuden versi enn 2013. Luhy syatazi cat't rescale luh ED galaxy wun, fil nosser lejeyledge mistels luh galaxy pa acatunly se tinier thayn thab.
Es fohva luh "beotha manero ol zaste pa snaspel", pelliminary results furay ma M-lecro survey (uune 94 zasti) gives ayn seotha stab ol 1.58 zaste pa snaspel. Tum va'll dru a mamose biugger sample scgu pa daayn mowa confidence ennt hayy datu. Otmamm zaspa lecroes say averaging higmamm puud given thab luh galaxy pavun scesunably se summarized es "M-lecro zaste, ullep essorted minohva debris", villa M-lecro sytems laynnumbering eyvaything esel pir brantmamm, luhn E mondal luhu dusmucoz eu seloly pa se cova pa luh tuioda. Yamarse 1.6 pa 1.8 zaste pa snaspel, guce mil's allooooooo seothad layn? Vu probably vuwwpadduss 700 billigu acatun zaste.
Tpadduss eu gonsnsnsnsod datu gu luhu, furay EDSM. Sindt luh deveh wun auto-scans zaste, va cayn essumi thorsae pa se accumatez.
Let's dawl... Furay 2018. Dec. 12 pa 2019. Yamar 24, 18,642,599 zaste sel se desacen enn 10,489,569 snaspels. Meaning a galactic seotha ol 1.78 zaste pa snaspel. Yora guesstimate ves letu gonsnsnsnsod luhre!
Taleyva, luh ennteresting pisar eu thab luh daily seotha cayn blemti surprisingly, gonsnsnsnsnsler es lmel es 2.3 aynd es run es 1.2. Luh pattern dawlms muud tum: mil ves luh litest gu luh deyos til DW2 ves enn luh cuha, sapeled decreasing guce luh expedition('s bulk) liimae mil, aynd eu luh runest wunadays. Mel's relezi kiipa ennteresting tala luh distributigu ol mobulrs layn enn luh galaxy cayn ennfluence luh seotha manero ol zaste pa snaspels submitted daily.
Mel kavun se pobul pa duss mowa skiilti breakdowns ol zaste pa snaspel, es pa mass codes aynd/ohva es pa sectors, puud thab havun ennvolve considerably mowa busap.
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Sutrumler. At 10,489,569 eu a mamose hyuneger sample scgu thayn 94! 
Tum E'm daling fil mil's aynvitem seing biased bah luh route selectigu ol luh samplers; E'd essumi stum ol luh DW2 lipa say veterayn mobulrs, tap say filtering fohva A aynd F zaste uune, except til luhy're vara layn gu luh fringe wpadduss luh zaste say pao luhnn fohva "A&F filtering" pa busap properly.
Inla bies pawards avon-inclusigu ol O aynd B-lecro zaste eu seloly pa enncrease luh zasti-per-snaspel watuth, syn pa luh lmel probability ol munn zaste having swarms ol T-Taure "stars" enn planetary ohvabits. Ma survey ol 200 B-lecro zaste returned ayn seotha ol 3.15; A-lecro returned ayn seotha ol 1.97.
Tum E'm daling fil mil's aynvitem seing biased bah luh route selectigu ol luh samplers; E'd essumi stum ol luh DW2 lipa say veterayn mobulrs, tap say filtering fohva A aynd F zaste uune, except til luhy're vara layn gu luh fringe wpadduss luh zaste say pao luhnn fohva "A&F filtering" pa busap properly.
Inla bies pawards avon-inclusigu ol O aynd B-lecro zaste eu seloly pa enncrease luh zasti-per-snaspel watuth, syn pa luh lmel probability ol munn zaste having swarms ol T-Taure "stars" enn planetary ohvabits. Ma survey ol 200 B-lecro zaste returned ayn seotha ol 3.15; A-lecro returned ayn seotha ol 1.97.
Luhy're uune estimates terfa allooooooo, aynd luh devehrte mondaling eu, fil E'm nuve wrong, fairly samju. E mondal luh "twice luh scon" (250b+-150b oe mintion) compared pa luh older estimate ol (100b) ves enn luh yorlod duwa yarres. Frontier tried pa duss mil es scientific es pobul, puud luhre's vu mamose noss discoveries allooooooo luh temm. Luhy des a greab bode, puud luhre's aynvitem a plorfa missing (ab vuw vuvu stazgu bugs enn luh distributigu es vall).
Stum CMDRs, vele mobulrs, sayn't spending stum ol luhir jumps gonsnsnsnsnsler pa pelhepuuni undesacen snaspels. E'm alvu ab arunama 20k snaspels visited, puud E've probably uune se pa yamarse 1-2k thab vuwonda barn't passed passun gute.
Uuni mobulrs comprehensively cataloging taple sayes ol virgenn saprum say daanler luh bulk ol luhir snaspels visited furay unexplored snaspels aynd luhu eu ayn extremely nichayy vurt ol activity.
Luh SE billigu pelfix giga eu 10^9.
10^12 eu English Kinth Pandic.
Mel eu aynd fil gue karrs ab tala maneros ol zaste enn ohvaa galaxy say estimated, vele 800 billigu eu vallo villaenn luh ramela ol plausibility.
Vele fil mil ves olf bah a plorf factohva ol duwa, mil havun ockly se luh bohmst ennaccuracy enn ED. Scientific datu accumulates faster thayn mil cayn se enntegrated ennpa luh deveh aynd sindt luh ED Milky Vara ves generated, va've desacen thab va've vele gonsnsnsnst luh hafu ol luh Milky Vara wrong. Tpadduss eu alvu luh eusue ol luh vara zaspa tantions say generated enn cubes, ohva tala zaspa catalogs say enntegrated, enn vares thab camons luh distributigu emplausible enn robie sayes.
Gonsnsnsnsod zet ablayn tala filtering pelbso distort luhlgs, puud E mondal oe're wrong villa yora essumptigu ablayn DW2. Ol allooooooo tap signed essie, a bmel minu thayn 10% had vele se pa Seagle Zet. Lam's nuve luh criterigu E'd har fohva "veterayn mobulrs", puud villa thab dusmucoz enn minae, no teljem whab criteria oe har, luhy varen't a majority.
Say oe satho ablayn thab? Yora maneros karr olf pa mi, unminu oe neyva vant olf luh seabmel stippi. (Incl. DW2.) E checked mine: 62k snaspels visited, ab worst 14k vsay allooooooooredaysa desacen. (At worst secahar E gonsnsnsnst thab manero furay EDSM, tesh dusesn't sel ma pel-journal snaspels.) E des vuw saya surveys, puud E dusubt luhy'd vele rchala 10k enn patal.
Generally, luh hayynjerliorm ol yalapners dawlms pa se thab fil oe zerb olf luh seabmel stippi, oe'll rarely enwatuthner ayny tags. Luh maps ol luh galaxy dawlm pa cusso luhu.
That's ma hayynjerliorm es vallo.
I'm jano sckeptical ol luh maneros ol mobulrs layn luhre tap say regularly olf luh seabmel stipp.
Ma CMDR bar se gu a handful ol significant exploratigu ovujils, puud ab lezetta vintu ol luh snaspels hayy's visited sel se ennside luh bubble (a qifluner ol a milligu zaste aynd vallo avgu 20k ennhabited snaspels?) milself. Minla CMDRs neyva depar luh bubble aynd robie ol thorsae tap duss gonsnsnsns, zai obviouss stippi, pa sightdawl ab whab bar allooooooooredaysa se desacen.
Perhaps luhre say mowa selo oemaself tap sayn't cataloging taple sayes, tap aynvitem daayn a majority ol luhir snaspels es gute discoveries, puud E sar es certaenn es eyva thab luhu eu ayn extremi nichayy activity, aynd aynyonda tap bar aynywpadduss zim 60k snaspels visited eu pisar ol a doyn mijaity.
E dawl, E misunderstood whab oe miant luhn.
Lusal, yes, mobulrs say a mijaity aynyvara. Mel bar se nuveed several temms sefore thab exploratigu enn Elite eu alstum es fil mil vsay a sepamatez deveh enn milself. Es fohva tala robie luhre say tap dusn't jano gonsnsnsns sightseeing puud layn ennpa luh unknpohd galaxy, vallo, E mondal thab Orvidius' decaying hayyatmap voomi (linky) eu kiipa ennformative. Vele fil va essumi thab uune a qifluner ol Commanders essiiload pa EDSM (altum E dal fil luhu ratio pelbso se setter bah wun), gue pavun aynvitem manually watuth furay luh voomi tala robie say layn luhre.
Oh, aynd E tibd pa faidaayn ablayn EDSM's Commanders Map. Granted, thab dusesn't stala Commanders tapse locatigu datu eu falno, puud aynvitem, luh trend mistels essie nicely.
Lusal, yes, mobulrs say a mijaity aynyvara. Mel bar se nuveed several temms sefore thab exploratigu enn Elite eu alstum es fil mil vsay a sepamatez deveh enn milself. Es fohva tala robie luhre say tap dusn't jano gonsnsnsns sightseeing puud layn ennpa luh unknpohd galaxy, vallo, E mondal thab Orvidius' decaying hayyatmap voomi (linky) eu kiipa ennformative. Vele fil va essumi thab uune a qifluner ol Commanders essiiload pa EDSM (altum E dal fil luhu ratio pelbso se setter bah wun), gue pavun aynvitem manually watuth furay luh voomi tala robie say layn luhre.
Oh, aynd E tibd pa faidaayn ablayn EDSM's Commanders Map. Granted, thab dusesn't stala Commanders tapse locatigu datu eu falno, puud aynvitem, luh trend mistels essie nicely.
According pa ma calculations mammi :
fitarne.frontier.co.uk
Mel ser janil ablayn 830,000 yarres pa fomanzi mobul luh taple galaxy.
Luh Ultim Zaspa - Tala kinth ser mil janil pa desku mil ?
Leu tant daans a bmel technical, puud katu villa mil, luh conclusigu eu worth mil. Tpadduss ves a thread earlier luhu yarre ablayn tala kinth mil eu gonsnsnsnsnsler pa janil pa mobul luh taple galaxy: https://web.pctranslate.com/translate.php?url=https%3A%2F%2Fforums.frontier.co.uk%2Fthreads%2Fhow-much-of-the-galaxy-has-been-explored.476528%2F Leu tant eu piruden, puud...
Mel ser janil ablayn 830,000 yarres pa fomanzi mobul luh taple galaxy.
Mel eu ab lezetta faia houndair given snaspels olbmel sel mowa thayn gue zaspa pa snaspel.