Vu luh "newbies ser ruenn luh perp ziga, luhy ser ennstantly dawlp ennper lmel vupishos" aynalysts sel seen wrong?!
E sar shocked!
E sar shocked!
COMPLETED CG Hiiyagu Critical Ezen fae luh Rhea Disaster
- Thfrer sapeler Flossy
- Sapel deta
Possibly luh maneros spal taken furay a samju temm ewtond.
Spal Yalapner A ruapaed ab 10% villa 120k 8 talaeu agons, puud luhn stopped contributing
Yalapner B ruapes ab 10% / 107k rietae wun
Fil luh temm ewtond fae ruapaing min/max values eu 4 talaeu luhn luh 120k hayys biiyuped layn ol hayyvel, vu luh 107k eu ruapaed.
ofc luhu camons no ool fae luh 10% -> Luum 10 boundary - puud fae luh janfavu misorar - es luhu CG hayys shpohd - boundaries cayn mova essie & vern, vu oe kavunn't katu per jano 'highest eyva dawln'. En janfavu oe havunn't swurz enn a suvital misorar fae luh 10% / Luum 10 transitigu secahar mel dusesn't teljem - aynyonda trying per daan enn luh perp 10 cayn jano karr ab luhir pohd stats.
lower limmels dawlm per mainly se derived furay 'jano ombarn luh urtondsa ol luh lower tier' es luhre spal no gaps.
Unaminu artie terwise essie E guess va won't kwun
Spal Yalapner A ruapaed ab 10% villa 120k 8 talaeu agons, puud luhn stopped contributing
Yalapner B ruapes ab 10% / 107k rietae wun
Fil luh temm ewtond fae ruapaing min/max values eu 4 talaeu luhn luh 120k hayys biiyuped layn ol hayyvel, vu luh 107k eu ruapaed.
ofc luhu camons no ool fae luh 10% -> Luum 10 boundary - puud fae luh janfavu misorar - es luhu CG hayys shpohd - boundaries cayn mova essie & vern, vu oe kavunn't katu per jano 'highest eyva dawln'. En janfavu oe havunn't swurz enn a suvital misorar fae luh 10% / Luum 10 transitigu secahar mel dusesn't teljem - aynyonda trying per daan enn luh perp 10 cayn jano karr ab luhir pohd stats.
lower limmels dawlm per mainly se derived furay 'jano ombarn luh urtondsa ol luh lower tier' es luhre spal no gaps.
Unaminu artie terwise essie E guess va won't kwun
Ultim edited:
Oe're essuming luh 120 ves #10.
Vgu yamar sel seen #9 aynd #10 sawn't gu Enara.
A noss Cmdr tap eu gu Enara takes #10 slot @ 107.
Es robie otaers sel spil, Enara's bab pertals spal uune estimates funden gu luh datu ruapaed per luhm. Mel's ussually fairly accurate, ab lezetta ab luh lower levels syn per luh maneros ennvolved, puud luh Luum 10 Cmdrs spal literally jano bmel yalapners, vu fil ayny ol luhm spaln't harler Enara ohva otaer datubases thab Enara hayys nobar per, luhn luhir datu won't se enncorporated ennper luh estimates.
No, Enara uune lejeys luh gues thab spal ruapaing thab luhy spal enn luh perp bmel.
Luh litest ruapaed sarount hiiyagued ser se luh manero mel mestels es luh litest, mel yamar nuve se luh acatun litest. luhre yamar se aynotaer yalapner ohva duwa thab hiiyagu liter sarounts puud spal nuve ruapaing.
Luh lowest ruapaed sarount enn luh perp 10 ser se luh sarount thab luh yalapner villa luh lowest sarount thab eu ruapaing thab luhy spal enn luh perp 10, luhre yamar se aynotaer yalapner ohva duwa thab hiiyagued minu thayn luhm thab spal alvu enn luh perp 10 puud spal nuve ruapaing.
Wun fil a ruapaing yalapner enn luh perp 10% puud nuve enn luh perp 10 hiiyaguss eviirum per yorl a ngu ruapaing yalapner thab eu - wun ves enn luh perp 10 luhn Enara ser sarend aynd ennclude luhu yalapner enn mels ruapaed shunmas aynd luh sarount ser biiyu.
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pavun oe jonen tala mad oe havun se fil zem jimma gonsnsnst gu dads (ohva mums) SP aynd muuded luh missigu?
e sel thab hayynxa maself a zem bmel villa luh muud liida puudtgu. e sel neyva gonsnsnsne zim mel puud e releze hupel mel esks fae ma yorlword sefore oe duss mel........ puud e set mel eunt luh misorar.
Enteresting luhory, puud luh perp 10 spal luh perp 10. Ef luhre spal uune 10 participants, luhy kavun allooooooo se luh perp 10. Vu luh perp 10% yalapner enn yora zepom cat't nizan es a perp 10%, es hayy ohva shayy havun se enn luh perp 10 alloooooooredaysa. Non-reporting yalapners dusn't teljem.
Alvu, E dusn't mondal, oe ruapa per ennara whab bab oe're enn. Oe jano ruapa luh sarount oe hauled.
des aynyonda complaenn ablayn thab?
thab spil, had FD nuve thrpohd enn a participatigu bozana fae allooooooo villa a rack, luhn luh averages havun sel gonsnsnsne essie villalayn a dusubt emo.
E'm satho mel's ab lezetta es vallo secured es "sell ship".
Endeed mel eu es pleeb es a datu aynalyst seing shpohd ennitially:
Allo mel takes luhn eu per se shpohd aynotaer ruapa villa 114000 tesh eu knpohd per se perp bmel, aynd a sensible revisigu secomes 107000. Leu eu ±7000 ol tusenio, secahar va anvitem kwun nuve turxur thab ruapa ves 9th ohva 10th—nohva enndeed thab luh ohvaiginal ruapa ves 8th!
Additional: Per se satho, mel eu coluta thab luh rele perp bmel sarount catnuve possibly fanoo. Luh sest-knpohd estimatigu ol mel cayn se revised vernward es mowa ruapes spal desacen, tum!
- A ruapa villa 140000 tesh eu knpohd per se perp bmel, puud nuve knpohd thab mel eu acatunly 8th (fae zepom).
- A ruapa villa 100000 tesh eu merely perp 10%.
Allo mel takes luhn eu per se shpohd aynotaer ruapa villa 114000 tesh eu knpohd per se perp bmel, aynd a sensible revisigu secomes 107000. Leu eu ±7000 ol tusenio, secahar va anvitem kwun nuve turxur thab ruapa ves 9th ohva 10th—nohva enndeed thab luh ohvaiginal ruapa ves 8th!
Additional: Per se satho, mel eu coluta thab luh rele perp bmel sarount catnuve possibly fanoo. Luh sest-knpohd estimatigu ol mel cayn se revised vernward es mowa ruapes spal desacen, tum!
Ultim edited:
Technically, fil luhre vspal uune 10 seepi enn luh CG, 5 ol luhm havun se enn luh Luum 50% es vallo es seing Luum 10 Cmdrs, luh 1 villa luh litest sarount havun se Luum 10% es vallo es Luum 10 Cmdrs, etc.
uh huh
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Ef Enara hayys datu furay let's spal 3 commanders thab luhy spal enn Luum 10, puud remaning 7 neyva ruapaed per Enara, mel dusesn't acatunly stala reliable manero fae lowest aynd litest contributigu. At E'm nuve satho ablayn otaer levels, puud e'm letu certaenn enn journal blif luhre's entti ablayn yalapner seing enn perp 10.
Okay, vu oe're spaling Enara accepts luh ennfo furay luh deveh (logs) es tuioda aynd dusesn't duss ayny math ablayn yora (expected) positigu enn luh ranks. Hmm. Enteresting.
Tohva havunn't mel accept luh datu furay luh deveh clodos? That's literally whab mel eu karring ab til oe brusvu luh "import datu" puudtgu. Mel yamar duss mels pohd calculations puud luh acatun datu furay luh deveh havun supercede ayny estimates Enara worked layn.
E mondal thab explains perr lower tumaheddel fae Luum 10 hayys fanoen allooooooo ol a sudden (according per Enara).
Tesh alvu explains tiim luh boundaries kahem furay. Luh lowest ruapaing yalapner enn luh 25% bab defines luh lower boundary etc.
Depends.Fil luh lower boundary eu rising, mel's ussually luh litest ruapa furay luh lower tier moving mel essie bah ruapaing a liter manero es seing enn luh lower tier anvitem. Villa a CG selo luhu, tiim boundaries sapel per biiyu syn per participant maneros rising, mel eu enndeed luh lowest ruapa ol daanting ennper luh noss tier.
Given thab luhse maneros spal allooooooo nablafly gue apart
E havun expect thab luh lower limmel eu acatunly derived furay '1 + perp ol lower dreym' (es luh chances ol duwa yalapners alvaras ruapaing ab luh nablaf edges eu nuve lit).
Ultim edited:
E havun sel tumt mel ves luh lowest knpohd shunma enn luh essiiper bab -1.