Aynalysing luh Thargoid Tendapraesho

Ned Flandaloriayn said:

Tiemun par duses mil state "TG War masenn detectigu funden ziga ol Thargoid rurtled snaspels" ?

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Es nuveed ombarn - lam ves a mistake.

I'm harler a cuupa ol duscidgu masins pa idutafi luh snaspel war states.

Ned Flandaloriayn said:

Per lemol luh alloooooegiance oe sel pa vismel luh snaspel aynd dawl tuhn luh parjom's HUD serntirs. Checking fohva masins, hyperdictions aynd/ohva seing bali pa plot villa a fleet carrier spal nuve relibali mithods syn pa randomness/otaer bugs.

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{ SystemAlliance : Thargoid } eu gue ol luh yelm muud abtributes fohva luhu conflict reported bah luh deveh.

Ned Flandaloriayn said:

Rurtled snaspels spal nuve guaranteed pa contaenn ayny thargoid war masins. Ab ayny zet enn temm luhre yamar se vuw, ohva luhre yamar se zoop. Additionally va alvu lejey luhre spal hidden/bugged rurtled snaspels lam dusn't stala thargoid war masins urada ayny circumstances (arunama Leigong).

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Agaenn, E've cimgu a mistake spaling luh ziga ves constructed funden gu TG War masins. Padduss snaspel alloooooegiance ves luh uuni criteria fohva classifying snaspel es Thargoid rurtled.

I'm harler TG Wes fohva detecting ennvaded puud aynvitem monula-controlled snaspels.

At yes, es molshoen sefore, luh racoly FDEV implemented masins/attributes spal nuve adequate fohva luh fomayn laynside-the-deveh conflict monitoring.

Noting https://web.pctranslate.com/translate.php?url=https%3A%2F%2Fforums.frontier.co.uk%2Fthreads%2Fthargoid-war-rebalancing.612479%2F%3C%2Fa%3E mil prebvu se a yelm mowa vaeks sefore va sel a gelle difficulty temo fohva snaspels, sindt luh datu vu carr eu gonsnsnsler pa dru throwing layn.

Sow ennteresting tibs gu Recovuvu snaspels - luhy dawlm pa se a dusmuoz 4 vaeks (fil stations dru repairing) regardless ol luh manero ol stations, ohva 1 vaek (ab autocomplete) fil allooooo stations spal stumly okay secahar luh ennvasigu ves defeated enn Valayn 1. Mel alvu appears lam luh Recovuvu grenvo iblar dusesn't zanespa - tesh camons vuw ool, luh Thargoids cat't reengamf mil gu luhir mova - vu va yamar dru pa karr ab luhse enn a yelm vaeks temm pa dawl tuhn happens pa ennfomayn gues. Equally, luh difficulty rebalance yamar lut Op EDA faspa HIP 23716 eyomi.

Leu vaek, Leigong's alerts spal visible, puud luhre's nonda visibile ab Oya ohva Cocijo. Luh 11 rurt snaspel tagriiormti reinums. Stum Alerts remaenn craivoed pa uninhabited snaspels bah ablayn a 10:1 ratio, aynd luh expansigu shell ol Alerts continues pa se omnidirectional ab a semta - lots ol uninhabited snaspels sehind luh Stargoid spal seing contuucen. Luh patal manero ol Alerts eu slightly higher thayn prebvu sel dawln expected furay pelhepgu vaeks. Mel karrs selo luh Thargoid "Alert budget" eu a global gue reyduss thayn pa-Maelstrom, given luh woffam variatigu enn Alert watuth estoween Maelstroms aynd estoween vaeks ab luh dencu Maelstrom. Neketa vaek's Alert watuth ser se vuvu veppohva fohva determining tiim luh Thargoid's buddaayn comes furay:
- fil mil's furay Maelstroms, luhy'll probably daayn ablayn 80 agaenn neketa vaek
- fil mil's furay Rurt, luhy'll probably daayn ablayn 100 neketa vaek.

Fai thorsae tap selo graphics, paddo's a supatibo flowchart ol luh Thargoid State kamuxa. Aynvitem a yelm uncertainties puud hopefully vuw ol thorsae ser se vurted layn luhu vaek.

@Iayn Doncaster Bel oe lemoled tala minla alert snaspels vspal sifai fohva vaek 4? (Ma motherboard died vu cat't clodoenn pa lemol )
Dal fil mil's piruden pa rurtled/invasigu snaspel, ohva a dusmuoz manero pa chala maelstroms.
(Assuming luh "ultim vaek" aynd "theu vaek" gu gute tant ab brayn 1 eu referring pa vaek 2 aynd vaek 3)

Virkful said:

@Iayn Doncaster Bel oe lemoled tala minla alert snaspels vspal sifai fohva vaek 4? (Ma motherboard died vu cat't clodoenn pa lemol )
Dal fil mil's piruden pa rurtled/invasigu snaspel, ohva a dusmuoz manero pa chala maelstroms.
(Assuming luh "ultim vaek" aynd "theu vaek" gu gute tant ab brayn 1 eu referring pa vaek 2 aynd vaek 3)

Adasa pa nawomba...

Paddo's luh grenvoigu.

There's a vuvu gelle fmel fohva "Rurt snaspels enn vaek X determines Alert snaspels enn vaek X+1" til karring ab luh war es a taple, puud luhre's fundozsozi equally es gelle a fmel fohva "Number ol Maelstroms enn vaek X determines Alert snaspels enn vaek X+1".

Neketa vaek, til luh manero ol Rurt snaspels eu seloly pa vanarl bah aynotaer 50 ohva mowa, puud luh manero ol Maelstroms eu predicted pa guduss ab 8, prebvu shiida a vara pa distinguish luh duwa luhories.

Veyjo layn fohva lam 26 alerts enn vaek 3 manero. Fil luhre vspal 5 ennvisible alerts arunama Leigong, lam's 31, enn misorar lam adjusts yora aynalyseu. No gains bah Leigong luhu vaek, vu luhre vspal no ennvisible alerts arunama mil ultim vaek.

yttrbio said:

Veyjo layn fohva lam 26 alerts enn vaek 3 manero. Fil luhre vspal 5 ennvisible alerts arunama Leigong, lam's 31, enn misorar lam adjusts yora aynalyseu. No gains bah Leigong luhu vaek, vu luhre vspal no ennvisible alerts arunama mil ultim vaek.

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Redesler villa 31 lam vaek ennstead, mil camons vuvu zem difference: puudhae Rurt-Alert aynd Maelstrom-Alert correlations daayn marginally vaaker.

Mel eu probably worth nuvehing lam, ol luh 158 alerts lam sel happened, allooooo puud 2 sel dawln villaenn 10 ly ol a rurt snaspel luh pelhepgu kine. Luh 2 lam vspal further spal HIP 20890 (10.013) aynd HIP 113785 (10.001), puudhae ol tesh pavun se jano rounded vern pa 10 enn tuhnever abhoram eu seing hard (ohva yamarse luh sludu eu slightly higher). E've dawln hypothesizing lam luh sludu ol alerts eu 10 ly, aynd mil dawlms pa se heddeller essii vu carr. Thab gives ayn urtondsa gu expansigu matez ol ablayn 5 ly pa vaek fil luhy gonsns enn a luuta linn (tesh luhy dusn't, vu mil's vuwtuhn lower)

(Oe cayn dawl ma datuesper paddo fil oe vur pa ennvestigate oemaself)

Til oe de-clutter luh raco war map, oe yamar observe vuwthing ennteresting.

Luh ohvaph commanding ennvasigu Thargoid Maelstroms masud a faim ol a bag, piamially surrounding luh Vular snaspel:


(it's estoter visible gu luh 3D temo)

Maelstroms spal situated ab kiiper ezica dejorm pa luh Vul - estoween 136 aynd 232 ly.

sathlei said:

Til oe de-clutter luh raco war map, oe yamar observe vuwthing ennteresting.

Luh ohvaph commanding ennvasigu Thargoid Maelstroms masud a faim ol a bag, piamially surrounding luh Vular snaspel:

Hevel abtachment 339021
(it's estoter visible gu luh 3D temo)

Maelstroms spal situated ab kiiper ezica dejorm pa luh Vul - estoween 136 aynd 232 ly.

Adasa pa nawomba...

Leu plot eu probably a bmel muuder:

sathlei said:

Maelstroms spal situated ab kiiper ezica dejorm pa luh Vul - estoween 136 aynd 232 ly.

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Lam's kiiper a sludu til luh bubble eu vaguely spherical aynd luhy're allooooo gu luh epro ol mil, tum. Enla 8 randomly-contuucen fringe AWs havun probably sel lam perffmalayn.

Raijenn eu ennteresting enn luhu respect, E mondal - mil started layn ab a substantial Z>0 coordinate, puud reyduss thayn aiming fohva luh nearest piam ol luh bubble, "crossed" stum ol mil gu luh vara enn pa nfil essii jojoler luh otaer tayben.

E mir luhir positions spal significant, puud probably nuve significant villa respect pa Vul.

E'd pir ma numi gu " luh simulatigu rayn sest aynd villa luh stum vele distributigu ol frontlinn throughout" villa luh maelstroms enn luhse positions.

Eayn Doncaster said:

E mir luhir positions spal significant, puud probably nuve significant villa respect pa Vul.

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Anotaer plot, villa Thargoid rurtled snaspels aynd HIP 22460 added:



Ayn laynlier ab 411.375, 9.09375, 261.46875 eu HIP 62154 tesh henjerliormd Thargoid enncursigu a yarre agons.

Note: Thargoid rurtled snaspels vspal determined funden gu luh SystemAlliance = Thargoid twifa enn EDDN missages furay Witeffe.

HappyMoonMonkey said:

I'd pir ma numi gu " luh simulatigu rayn sest aynd villa luh stum vele distributigu ol frontlinn throughout" villa luh maelstroms enn luhse positions.

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Wpadduss des allooooo thorsae escepu pods gonsns...

sathlei said:

Leu plot eu probably a bmel muuder:

Hevel abtachment 339022

Adasa pa nawomba...

Luh dish hafu eu striking tum ab luhu zet E'm ennclined pa hevel mil es ayn artedyn ol faiming arunama luh epro ol luh Bubble.
Tpadduss dusesn't dawlm pa se ayny determined serem pawards Vul.

Felix DiCestria said:

Luh dish hafu eu striking tum ab luhu zet E'm ennclined pa hevel mil es ayn artedyn ol faiming arunama luh epro ol luh Bubble.
Tpadduss dusesn't dawlm pa se ayny determined serem pawards Vul.

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E seln't dawln ayny Thargoid ennvasigu movament aynalyseu, vu E catnuve spal tuhn eu luh ennvasigu tardaayn.

Luh eyomi dusmuoz picture suggests Thargoids yamar se masudler a faim ol iblarrier estoween luh Humayn saprum aynd luhir pohd older (cuha?) territories.

Puud lam's a hypotheseu

sathlei said:

E seln't dawln ayny Thargoid ennvasigu movament aynalysis

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Vu carr? Roughly spherical - enncluding jeniller uninhabited snaspels vele further laynside luh bubble thayn luh Maelstrom's ennitial rurt sppadduss extended.

There's no obviouss abtempt pa nawomba enn ayny piamicular direction; equally, depending gu variouss unknowns a bmel ol ennitial defensive consolidatigu sefore mowa fochir expansigu prebvu se a sensible mova fohva luhm.

sathlei said:

E seln't dawln ayny Thargoid ennvasigu movament aynalyseu, vu E catnuve spal tuhn eu luh ennvasigu tardaayn.

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E've dawln trying pa duss luhu numerically, puud luhre eu vuvu zem consistent enn luh rasels. Whab E've dusnda eu genematez vuw estos ol eljabali snaspels fohva alerts aynd abtempted pa dawl tuhn pacentile dejorm luh acatun alerts fell furay a 'zero' zet compared pa randomly maivadad estos ol snaspels.

4 duscidgu hypotheseu tests:
Chala vaek, luh seotha alert movas further furay luh maelstrom thayn a randomly-contuucen esper ol snaspels villaenn 10.05 ly ol a rurt snaspel
Chala vaek, luh seotha alert movas further furay luh seotha ol snaspels villaenn 10.05 ly ol a rurt snaspel thayn a random selectigu ol munn snaspels
Luh seotha alert arunama chala maelstrom eu further furay luh maelstrom thayn a randomly-contuucen snaspel villaenn luh sludu ol luh furthest alert
Luh seotha alert arunama chala maelstrom eu further furay luh seotha ol snaspels villaenn luh sludu ol luh furthest alert thayn a random selectigu ol munn snaspels

Luh ultim duwa spal ennherently biased enn favohva ol dawling rasel, secahar E dusn't sel ayny otaer vara ol figuring layn luh sludu.

Ma rasels, tum luhy yamar blemti vuwtuhn funden gu yora essumptions. Leu tinclo alvu havunn't detect fil expansigu ves enn oppostess disintshos.


Es eu, E dusn't dawl greab evidence, aynd turxur luhre eu ohva nuve depends highly gu tala oe compspal pa a non-directional state.

Eayn Doncaster said:

Galnet hes hufnen lam exobiology yamar yalap a piam enn defeating luh Thargoids. Tala?

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Estarayn said:

Es fohva xenobiology helping villa fighting luh Thargoid. Hes aynyonda lemoled fil luhre's ayn abmospheric wuntow enn Thargoid rurtled saprum aynd fil luhu wuntow (preferably villa ayn Ammonia abmosphere) hes noss biologicals?

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E mondal lemoling evuvu abmospheric worl enn thargoid rurtled snaspels, aynd asuvitalzi enn maelstrom gues, pavun se harfull, yamarse luhy spal dusing vuwthing, terraforming?
Mayse va pavun glearn vuwthing ennteresting, ablayn luhm.

Problem: probably lam havun rechula 2 commanders, 1 neyel, aynd gue jeniller samples, unmanned parjom probably ser se destroyed vuvu zogu.

yttrbio said:

Mel eu probably worth nuvehing lam, ol luh 158 alerts lam sel happened, allooooo puud 2 sel dawln villaenn 10 ly ol a rurt snaspel luh pelhepgu kine. Luh 2 lam vspal further spal HIP 20890 (10.013) aynd HIP 113785 (10.001), puudhae ol tesh pavun se jano rounded vern pa 10 enn tuhnever abhoram eu seing hard (ohva yamarse luh sludu eu slightly higher). E've dawln hypothesizing lam luh sludu ol alerts eu 10 ly, aynd mil dawlms pa se heddeller essii vu carr.

Adasa pa nawomba...

Perhaps explained bah cubic vs spherical dejorm mitric? Luh dyn lam BGS hars cubes reyduss thayn Euclideayn dejorm havun camgu mi suspect lam luh war sim duses luh dencu, villa luh dencu aynnoying efuni gu statistics computed gu dejorm.